Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#279
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#273
Pace68.7#145
Improvement-2.9#301

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#308
First Shot-6.2#321
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#128
Layup/Dunks-0.1#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#307
Freethrows-1.8#286
Improvement+0.8#133

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#224
First Shot-1.8#228
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#184
Layups/Dunks+1.8#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#348
Freethrows-0.7#213
Improvement-3.7#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 345   Florida A&M W 84-73 86%     1 - 0 -8.2 -0.8 -7.7
  Nov 17, 2016 141   Elon L 61-74 28%     1 - 1 -14.3 -8.2 -6.6
  Nov 19, 2016 217   Rider W 70-65 45%     2 - 1 -1.1 -3.9 +2.9
  Nov 22, 2016 271   @ Florida Atlantic L 62-78 38%     2 - 2 -20.2 -11.5 -8.9
  Nov 28, 2016 252   Kennesaw St. W 71-69 52%     3 - 2 -5.9 -5.0 -0.8
  Dec 01, 2016 129   @ Troy W 80-74 14%     4 - 2 +10.3 +1.6 +8.4
  Dec 03, 2016 113   @ George Washington L 67-68 12%     4 - 3 +4.6 +3.3 +1.2
  Dec 12, 2016 340   Bethune-Cookman W 79-73 OT 83%     5 - 3 -11.6 -1.9 -9.6
  Dec 17, 2016 33   South Carolina L 66-77 6%     5 - 4 -1.1 +7.1 -8.9
  Dec 20, 2016 204   Northern Illinois L 48-59 41%     5 - 5 -16.1 -21.8 +4.7
  Dec 22, 2016 281   Delaware W 81-53 61%     6 - 5 +17.9 +6.4 +12.3
  Dec 28, 2016 159   @ East Carolina L 49-60 17%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -8.0 -12.6 +3.4
  Dec 31, 2016 53   Houston L 56-70 9%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -6.5 -8.4 +0.5
  Jan 07, 2017 13   @ SMU L 65-84 1%     6 - 8 0 - 3 +1.3 +10.7 -12.6
  Jan 11, 2017 223   Tulane L 67-82 46%     6 - 9 0 - 4 -21.4 -13.0 -7.5
  Jan 14, 2017 92   @ Memphis L 56-62 9%     6 - 10 0 - 5 +1.4 -13.9 +15.4
  Jan 17, 2017 68   @ Central Florida L 64-86 6%     6 - 11 0 - 6 -11.5 +0.7 -12.1
  Jan 21, 2017 126   Tulsa L 67-79 26%     6 - 12 0 - 7 -12.6 -8.7 -3.2
  Jan 25, 2017 84   Connecticut L 60-81 16%     6 - 13 0 - 8 -17.7 -0.6 -20.1
  Jan 29, 2017 24   @ Cincinnati L 53-94 2%     6 - 14 0 - 9 -23.0 -9.5 -13.6
  Feb 02, 2017 92   Memphis L 75-85 18%     6 - 15 0 - 10 -7.7 +3.0 -10.5
  Feb 05, 2017 107   @ Temple L 74-83 11%     6 - 16 0 - 11 -3.0 +6.3 -9.6
  Feb 08, 2017 84   @ Connecticut L 51-97 8%     6 - 17 0 - 12 -37.7 -10.0 -32.8
  Feb 11, 2017 159   East Carolina W 64-57 30%     7 - 17 1 - 12 +4.9 +4.2 +1.7
  Feb 15, 2017 24   Cincinnati L 54-68 4%     7 - 18 1 - 13 -1.0 -4.3 +1.5
  Feb 18, 2017 223   @ Tulane L 71-94 28%     7 - 19 1 - 14 -24.3 -2.0 -22.6
  Feb 23, 2017 126   @ Tulsa L 68-82 13%     7 - 20 1 - 15 -9.5 -1.4 -8.2
  Mar 02, 2017 68   Central Florida L 56-59 12%     7 - 21 1 - 16 +2.4 -7.7 +10.0
  Mar 05, 2017 107   Temple L 60-72 21%     7 - 22 1 - 17 -11.0 -9.3 -2.4
  Mar 09, 2017 84   @ Connecticut L 66-77 8%     7 - 23 -2.7 -7.1 +5.5
Projected Record 7.0 - 23.0 1.0 - 17.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%